Evaluating Edmonton Oilers’ Depth Scoring and the Potential Acquisition of David Perron

An imminent concern for the Edmonton Oilers’ front office revolves around enhancing their depth scoring on the third and fourth lines during even-strength play (5v5). Although the Oilers have excelled in outscoring opponents with Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl on the ice, their performance dips when one or both of them are absent, resulting in a -3 goal differential of 36-33.

The silver lining lies in the commendable efforts of the bottom six forwards, who have effectively controlled play and created scoring opportunities, evident in the team’s 53.76 percent Corsi for percentage and 53.09 percent Expected Goals for percentage. However, their collective shooting percentage of 6.48 percent falls short of the league average of 8.57 percent, posing a challenge considering the Oilers spend 46 percent of their total even-strength time without their star players.

Corey Perry was his usual sneaky, excellent self playing RW with Draisaitl vs Ducks but not sure if that is long-term. One winger Holland has long liked: little bit younger, greasy David Perron, UFA in Detroit. Wings would have to eat half his $4.75 m

— Jim Matheson (@jimmathesonnhl) February 10, 2024

Recent discussions have highlighted 35-year-old winger David Perron of the Detroit Red Wings as a potential trade target for the Oilers. Perron, in the final year of his contract, might be available if Detroit’s playoff chances diminish. Despite the Red Wings’ recent strong performance, Perron’s underlying shot share metrics suggest a regression, making his acquisition for Edmonton’s depth scoring questionable.

While Perron brings valuable experience and a blend of skill and tenacity, his declining production raises concerns. His points per hour rate this season is notably lower than in previous years, and his personal shooting percentage has dropped to 6.5 percent compared to his career average of 11.8 percent. Moreover, Perron’s on-ice performance with the Red Wings indicates a decline in his ability to drive play, with the team’s shot-share numbers suffering when he’s on the ice.

Considering the Oilers’ need for increased scoring from their bottom six, Perron’s potential impact may not align with their requirements. His diminished performance suggests he may no longer be the play-driving force he once was, and his inability to convert scoring chances further dampens his suitability for Edmonton’s needs.