Triston McKenzie concluded his third start of the season on Saturday evening, facing a formidable challenge from the New York Yankees who tallied five earned runs against the Cleveland Guardians’ starter in 4.0 innings of play, prompting widespread inquiry among fans.
While the concern over McKenzie’s relinquishing of multiple runs is evident, the primary focus early in the season has centered on his velocity, or rather, the lack thereof.
In his last complete season in 2022, McKenzie maintained an average fastball velocity of 92.5 mph. However, in 2024, this average has declined to 91.1 mph. Coupled with diminished velocity, McKenzie has encountered difficulties with his command, resulting in walks and falling behind in counts.
The pivotal question now revolves around the organization’s apprehension regarding this decline. Stephen Vogt provided insights on the matter following McKenzie’s outing against the Yankees, expressing a measured stance on the issue.
“While we may not yet express outright concern, there are discernible indicators,” Vogt stated. “He demonstrates glimpses of it, often registering 92s on the radar. For him, the imperative lies in attaining consistency in his delivery and release point. It’s not necessarily every pitch but the pronounced deviations that prompt scrutiny. Carl Willis and the pitching staff are diligently collaborating with him daily to rediscover his rhythm and return to form.”
Despite Vogt’s cautious stance, signs suggest a looming concern regarding McKenzie’s velocity. Notably, his swing-and-miss rate has significantly declined across all his pitches this season, with the fastball serving as the linchpin to establish the strike zone.
McKenzie, reflecting on his performance, maintains confidence in his velocity but acknowledges the need for greater consistency. “I believe it’s within reach,” remarked McKenzie. “You could observe it more consistently towards the latter part of the outing. It’s a matter of deciphering how to sustain it consistently.”
With uncertainty looming, attention will undoubtedly be fixed on McKenzie’s radar readings in the forthcoming starts.
