Navigating Risk: Insights into Jordan Montgomery’s Contract with the Arizona Diamondbacks

Jordan Montgomery’s recent agreement with the Arizona Diamondbacks reflects an acknowledgment of the potential risks associated with his extended offseason period. After a prolonged negotiation, Montgomery concluded his holdout by signing a two-year contract with the reigning NL champions on Monday, inclusive of a vesting option for the second year. According to details provided by Jon Heyman of the New York Post, an intriguing aspect of Montgomery’s deal is his ability to opt out if he achieves 10 starts during the 2024 season. Should he meet this threshold, his salary for 2025 would automatically vest at $20 million, with additional increases of $2.5 million for reaching 18 starts and $5 million for 23 starts, potentially culminating in a maximum salary of $25 million for the 2025 season.

While Montgomery’s track record suggests that reaching the required number of starts may seem feasible, his decision to delay signing until nearly Opening Day resulted in him missing the entirety of spring training. Consequently, there is an increased risk of injury unless he dedicates adequate time to regain his form, potentially extending beyond the start of the regular season. Moreover, at 31 years old and with a history of Tommy John surgery in 2018, there are considerations regarding his durability. Recognizing this, the Diamondbacks, who have prioritized acquiring resilient players this offseason, have incorporated provisions into the contract to safeguard against unforeseen circumstances.